Militarization- The pen, at times, is indeed mightier than the sword. 但是，国务院领导的外交的支持者知道，对俄罗斯，伊朗，朝鲜和其他州行为者的制裁具有合法的牙齿。 Russia's recent incursion into Ukraine has led to some interesting outcomes. 当然，我们目睹了西方与外部国家的最大，最坚定的联盟。它是yuge;everyone got in on it, and even in spite of cost impositionon themselves以能源价格上涨的形式，非洲大陆对抗俄罗斯。 We also have heard whispers of increased EU and NATO membership amongst remaining nation states in Europe. There's something to be said about Article V protections, just like there's something to be said about being a nuclear power in today's day and age. At the same time, existing NATO members are finally saying things that would make this country's former orange president happy: pledging at least 2% of their GDP towards defense spending, if not more. This is good news for the collective defense, and I'd consider it great news for European theater's collective deterrence. That being said, even though you can't put a price on deterrence, you can put a price on weapon buying. If these rumors come to fruition, the Boeings, Raytheons, Lockheed Martins, L3Harris's, etc., of the world are going to pop, and in a hurry. If you thought that the US was sending an exorbitant amount of aid to Ukraine, imagine if NATO member-states started to sign outsized deals with weapons makers in the near term. Big time deals = Big time profits for the major defense prime contractors. In the face of threats from Russia about NATO expansion, an escalation of rhetoric might slow the political conversations surrounding treaty expansion; but at the same time, it might expedite deal room conversations surrounding sales of weapons to foreign partners. If you're like us here at WSO, you've been shocked at the outcomes of several geopolitical events in 2022. If we make predictions, we're guaranteed to be wrong, so let's see how this unfolds. |
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