叫我金枪鱼国王

MARKETS

• 全球经济:高级exec at the International Monetary Fund is sounding the alarm about the next recession. David Lipton told the英尺, "We are less prepared to deal with that than we should be."

TECH

不是您母亲的消费电子节目

And not just because of the noticeable shortage of landline phones. The Consumer Electronics Show wows every year, but 2019 has some tricks up its sleeve that are sure to provide plenty of fuel for the internet this week.

In case your invite got lost in the mail, here's the 411: CES 2019 technically kicks off in Las Vegas tomorrow and runs through Friday, but a handful of companies started the madness yesterday. There'll be 4,500 exhibiting firms and 180,000 attendees from 150 countries.

那么，什么使2019年如此引人注目？对于初学者...

科技在每个人的餐桌上都弹出

在感恩节，罗斯姨妈不会停止谈论马克·扎克伯格（Mark Zuckerberg）去年春天与DC的数据隐私有关的Mano Mano。而且不要让爸爸开始以苹果的股票价格开始。

The big dogs at CES are hoping to steer the conversation away from the soap opera of regulation and profits under pressure, focusing instead on the potential of innovations including AI, robots, health tech, and the cloud. Oh, did we mention robots? Because they will be everywhere.

贸易战也正在找到自助餐

请记住背景：技术IP盗窃是特朗普总统进行中国贸易战争的主要动机之一。美国和中国之间的90天休战日期正在到期日期。

Companies will likely be chatting with manufacturers about shifting production away from China to avoid the (uber-expensive) trade war.

而且，您甚至可以在本周从深圳飞往拉斯维加斯的航班上找到开销的垃圾箱空间。今年没有中国科技高管在今年提供CES主题演讲，而中国参展商的参展商将比去年少20％。

以及部分政府关闭...

It's hitting the CES guest list hard. FCC Chairman Ajit Pai and several other government officials won't be making the trip thanks to agency funding lapses.

股票

市场的新常态？

Volatility. The U.S. equity market (which is the largest in the world) has become more unstable than you when you're hangry, reversing its historical steady-as-she-goes course.

请参阅，多年来，美国市场以与较小，更闪烁的股票市场相比可靠地无聊。据报道，现在，美国正在赢得另一种声誉。

one volatility measure of the S&P 500 recently jumped to its highest reading versus the Euro Stoxx 50 since the financial crisis, and saw its highest reading versus Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index in seven years.

VIX（您听说过华尔街的恐惧仪，对吗？去年，它占据了创纪录的14天动作，超过20％，仅在过去的三个月中，它就会攀升44％。

那么发生了什么变化呢？秋天的抛售揭示了使交易者在夜间保持现状的问题：可能的全球经济放缓，中国贸易战争和利率上升。

税

说话边缘税率

Any weekend in which income tax policy gets as much coverage as the NFL playoffs and the Golden Globes is a good weekend.

当大一新生美国代表亚历山大·奥卡西奥·科尔特斯（D-NY）提出60分钟的时间，她可能会以60-70的边际税率对超人税（赚1000万美元）征税时，这场辩论开始了。％。

现在，根据您的经济理念，您可能会认为这是一个令人发指的建议或值得实施的想法。无论哪种方式，现在都是学习有关我们税收系统的好时机：

• “边际”税只是意味着随着收入的上升，它以越来越高的利率征税，降低了某些括号。因此，在此示例中，60-70％仅适用于扎克伯格的收入标记超过1000万美元。
• 目前，赚取超过60万美元的家庭的最高利率为37％。
• 它过去要高得多。1980年的最高速度为70％，尽管括号和漏洞比现在更多。

食物

“这是一个很好的金枪鱼，但我认为我付了太多”

-Kiyoshi Kimura是Sushi Zanmai餐厅连锁店的所有者，也是自称为“金枪鱼王”，在为612磅重的蓝鳍金枪鱼（或每磅5,000美元）支付了超过300万美元的费用。

是的吗？

一些背景：这条鱼是在东京新的Toyosu鱼市场上的年度拍卖中购买的。请记住，古老的，臭名昭著的坚韧不拔的市场（名为Tsukiji）被迫搬迁，为即将在2020年即将举行的奥运会清理道路。新市场的建设耗资约50亿美元。

But why was the fish so expensive? Even by bluefin tuna standards, this price was exorbitant, almost 10x higher than that paid at last year's auction (thanks in part to a heated bidding war). But one long-term problem is that the species has been overfished nearly to extinction, with stocks of Pacific bluefin depleted by 96% from pre-industrial levels, according to theAP。

最重要的是，皮尤慈善信托基金（Pew Charitable Trusts）的金枪鱼专家提供：“围绕年度太平洋蓝鳍金枪鱼拍卖的庆祝活动隐藏了该物种的真正麻烦程度。”

CALENDAR

The Week Ahead

It's the first full week of 2019. You forgot about all your New Year's resolutions, didn't you.

星期一：摩根大通医疗保健会议；美国和中国举行贸易会谈；国家鲍勃黑德日

Tuesday: International trade; JOLTS

星期三：FOMC分钟；收入（Lennar，Bed Bath＆Beyond）

Thursday: Jobless claims; Jerome Powell speaks...and everyone listens

星期五：CPI通货膨胀数据；全国人口贩运意识日

还有什么

• 国家公园管理局（National Park Service）将在政府关闭期间资助某些行动。
• 昨晚的金球奖发生。
• Sears is prepping for a potential liquidation, per Bloomberg. Apparently, Sears Chairman Eddie Lampert's $4.4 billion bid to revive the retailer isn't up to bankers' standards.
• Chipotle正在推出新的“生活方式”碗，因为我们中间不幸地遵守了Keto，Paleo和Whole30的饮食。
• José Muñoz, a top exec at Nissan expected by some to become its next CEO, is taking a leave of absence from the company.

BREAKROOM

鱼琐事

我们想到了鱼，所以我们前往富尔顿鱼市场的网站购物。您可以按价格对以下项目进行排名吗？

• 牡蛎live，Atlantic，Pemaquid，耕种（十几个）
• Salmon-Alaskan King, Copper River, Superfrozen, Wild, USA (Two 8 oz
• 盐鳕鱼 - 巴卡拉，加拿大野外，鱼片（3磅无骨和无皮下角）
• Uni Roe-Sea Urchin, Fresh, Wild, East Coast, Peru (130 g container)

休息室答案

鱼琐事
Salmon: $90, Cod: $54, Uni roe: $40, Oysters: $30