尽管股票市场似乎表明我们的表现非常好，但经济显然并不处于最佳状态。我们已经有30年的通货膨胀高点，俄罗斯 - 乌克兰战争，美联储希望今年将利率提高5-7倍。我个人认为，这将减缓经济增长，而公司将不会像大流行期间那样雇用那么多。工资已经上涨了近15％，我认为企业不会过度付费进入可能的衰退。这让我担心，因为我认为回报率要比往年的公司低得多。
这是从您所看到的，以及经历过经验的人或经济中其他经济不景气的人们的真实情况，如果您要在明年成为大学毕业或在公司实习，您将如何做对冲这个夏天？这确实是与市场有关的问题，但我正在发布IBforum because there's more traction.
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Comments (5）
撞
你是正确的。回报率绝对会更低，尤其是如果交易继续以停滞的速度继续下去。话虽这么说，银行肯定会为实习生班而过度雇用，而且由于更宽大的宽容，肯定有很多人获得报价的人。一天结束时，实习生> FT计划是该公司最大的人口供您人口最大的喂食器，因此，虽然要约价格可能不会像最近几年那样慷慨，但如果您执行的话，那么您就不必担心太多。
Be smart though, if you feel like things are clicking at your summer firm, make sure you are vigilant and put out feelers and connections at other firms so that you are well-positioned if and when英尺recruiting becomes necessary. Good luck and focus on performing, not the potential outcomes.
Thanks for sharing your insights on this! Was wondering if you have any insights on whether this would also apply to the Corporate / Commercial Banking division of BBs? My line of thought was that interest rates going up would be a positive for Corp / Commercial Banking since it's likely that the net interest income (profitability) would increase (which has been indicated in my BB's 2022 forecast).
Curious to hear whether current deal and market trends are primarily affecting justIB/IBReturn offers or otherfo分裂为出色地。
谢谢！
对公司或商业银行业务的回报报价率没有意见，但我不一定同意您的逻辑，利率上升。
Yes, for the bank rising rates is good and net interest income will go up. But for corporations who are borrowing, which is how you as a commercial or corporate banking analyst have a job, rising rates will absolutely discourage them from borrowing and therefore deal flow in your role will go down. So it's good for the bank's profitability but bad for your deal flow. And if the bank can make more money off a smaller quantity of deals there is no reason why they would need to keep you around if it is not justified by deal flow.
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